Slides from my MPSA 2014 presentation on forecasting turnout

For those of you who missed it, here are the slides from my talk at last weekend’s MPSA conference:

Past + Present = Future: A New Approach to Predicting Voter Turnout

The example shown is more of a toy model than one I’d actually put into practice, but it should give a general sense of the concepts behind the framework I’m proposing. As always, feel free to get in touch with questions.